Forty-eight nations. One trophy. We profile the eight teams the data models and analysts believe are most likely to lift the FIFA World Cup trophy at MetLife Stadium on July 19.
Tournament at a glance
Spain and France lead the predictive models, but with the expanded 48-team format and knockout football's inherent chaos, every one of these eight sides has a credible path to glory.

Reigning European champions. Lamine Yamal, at 18, carries a nation's hopes alongside Ballon d'Or winner Rodri.

Finalists in two of the last three World Cups. Mbappé captains the FIFA #1 ranked side with arguably the deepest squad.

Thomas Tuchel, a knockout specialist, tasked with ending 60 years of hurt. Bellingham leads a bold new era.

Defending champions. Messi's record sixth and final World Cup. No team has repeated since Brazil in 1962.

Five-time champions, 24 years without a trophy. Carlo Ancelotti brings five Champions League titles' worth of nous. Vinícius Jr. is the talisman.

Ronaldo's record sixth World Cup. Bruno Fernandes is the creative engine behind their deepest-ever squad.

Four-time champions seeking redemption after two group-stage exits. Musiala & Wirtz form the most exciting young creative duo in football. Neuer returns for one last stand.

Three-time runners-up hunting their first star. Van Dijk captains a heavily Premier League-influenced squad.
Age 64. Led Spain to the Euro 2024 title, winning all seven matches. Selected a Barcelona-heavy squad with zero Real Madrid players — a historic first. Emphasizes form over reputation.
Lamine Yamal
Winger · 18 · Barcelona
Euro 2024 breakout star. Hamstring concern but De la Fuente is confident. The most electrifying teenager in the tournament.
Rodri
Defensive Midfielder · 29 · Man City
Ballon d'Or winner. The metronome who makes Spain tick. Arguably the best in the world at his position.
Pedri
Central Midfielder · 23 · Barcelona
Creative heartbeat alongside Gavi. Dictates tempo and unlocks defenses with surgical passing.
Nico Williams
Winger · 23 · Athletic Bilbao
Yamal's partner from Euro 2024. Electric pace and dribbling. Also carrying a minor hamstring concern.
In charge since 2012. Won the 2018 World Cup, reached the 2022 final. This is his fourth and final World Cup — Zinedine Zidane is expected to take over afterward. France enter as the FIFA #1 ranked team.
Kylian Mbappé
Forward (C) · 27 · Real Madrid
96 caps, 56 goals. One shy of Giroud's all-time record. Hat-trick in the 2022 final. The world's most devastating big-game player.
Ousmane Dembélé
Forward · 29 · PSG
Reigning Ballon d'Or winner. Champions League winner. Still searching for his first World Cup goal.
William Saliba
Centre-Back · 25 · Arsenal
Defensive anchor coming off a career-best club season. The foundation upon which France's attack is built.
N'Golo Kanté
Midfielder · 35 · Fenerbahçe
One of four survivors from 2018. Veteran presence who still covers every blade of grass. Invaluable tournament experience.
Antoine Griezmann (retired from international football), Eduardo Camavinga (limited playing time), Randal Kolo Muani, Lucas Chevalier.

Arguably the deepest attack in the tournament: Mbappé, Dembélé, Olise, Cherki, Barcola, Doué. The real question is whether Deschamps' historically conservative tactics will fully unleash this fearsome forward line without Griezmann's creative influence.

Won all 8 Group K matches without conceding a single goal. The most dominant European qualifying campaign of any team in this tournament.
The knockout tournament specialist. Won the Champions League with Chelsea and reached finals with PSG. Made bold selection calls: dropped Phil Foden, Cole Palmer, and Harry Maguire. Built a balanced squad with two players per position and a clear No. 6 / No. 8 / No. 10 midfield structure.
Jude Bellingham
Attacking Midfielder · 22 · Real Madrid
The Galáctico. Primary No. 10 in Tuchel's system. Already a leader at 22, expected to define this England era.
Harry Kane
Striker (C) · 32 · Bayern Munich
England's all-time top scorer. The undisputed leader. Chasing the one trophy that has eluded him throughout a glittering career.
Declan Rice
Defensive Midfielder · 27 · Arsenal
Midfield anchor. Screens the defense, drives forward, and provides the platform for Bellingham to roam.
Bukayo Saka
Winger · 24 · Arsenal
Width and direct attacking threat. Relentless running off the ball. One of the first names on Tuchel's team sheet.
Tuchel left out Phil Foden, Cole Palmer, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Harry Maguire — four players who were considered locks under Southgate. Marcus Rashford earns a recall after an impressive Barcelona loan spell.
Built a winning machine that functions with or without Messi. Won the 2022 World Cup and the 2024 Copa América. 17 players return from the Qatar 2022 title-winning squad — continuity is their superpower.
Lionel Messi
Forward (C) · 38 · Inter Miami
Record sixth World Cup. 8 goals, 4 assists in CONMEBOL qualifying. Managing a minor hamstring issue. His final dance on the biggest stage.
Lautaro Martínez
Striker · 28 · Inter Milan
The team's primary goal threat. Combines physical presence with clinical finishing. In the form of his life.
Enzo Fernández
Midfielder · 25 · Chelsea
Tempo-setter in midfield. Young Player of the Tournament in Qatar 2022. The bridge between defense and attack.
Emiliano Martínez
Goalkeeper · 33 · Aston Villa
Golden Glove winner in 2022. The penalty shootout hero. A big-game goalkeeper who thrives under pressure.
Leandro Paredes suffered a hamstring tear ~12 days before the opener and may miss the first match. Cristian Romero nursing a knee injury but included in the final squad.


"The perfect team won't win the World Cup. A more resilient team can win. We want to be the most resilient team in the world." Ancelotti has already been extended through 2030 — the CBF believes in the project regardless of 2026 outcome.
Five Champions League titles with AC Milan and Real Madrid. His first international role. The legendary Italian brings unmatched tournament pedigree and man-management to a Brazil side desperate to end a 24-year drought.
Vinícius Júnior
Forward · 25 · Real Madrid
The face of Brazil's new generation. Needs to translate devastating club form to the international stage. Only 8 international goals to date.
Neymar
Forward · 34 · Santos
Returns after not playing for Brazil since October 2023. All-time top scorer (79 goals, 128 caps). Fitness is the major question mark.
Raphinha
Winger · 29 · Barcelona
Direct, aggressive wide play. Coming off a strong club season. Likely to start alongside Vinícius in Ancelotti's front three.
Bruno Guimarães
Midfielder · 28 · Newcastle
The engine room. Leadership and quality in the center of the pitch. Essential to Brazil's transition play.
Rodrygo, Éder Militão, and teenage sensation Estevão all ruled out through injury. These are significant losses that test Brazil's depth.
Oversees a significant generational shift: 11 changes from the Qatar 2022 squad. Built Portugal into reigning UEFA Nations League champions. His challenge: managing Ronaldo's minutes strategically as a "match-state player" rather than the system's focal point.
Cristiano Ronaldo
Forward (C) · 41 · Al Nassr
First male player at six World Cups. 226 caps, 143 goals (both all-time men's records). Now a specialist weapon for set-pieces, penalties, and critical knockout moments.
Bruno Fernandes
Attacking Midfielder · 31 · Man United
Portugal's most important player. Premier League's best chance creator in 2025/26. The creative engine that makes everything tick.
Rafael Leão
Winger · 26 · AC Milan
Explosive wide threat. Unpredictable dribbling that terrifies defenses. The X-factor in Portugal's attacking arsenal.
Rúben Dias
Centre-Back · 29 · Man City
The defensive leader. Organizes the back line with authority. A serial winner who brings standards and intensity to the entire defensive unit.
Analysts call this Portugal's deepest-ever squad. Vitinha and João Neves control midfield tempo, Bernardo Silva provides control, and wide threats like Neto and Conceição offer variety. For the first time, they do not rely entirely on Ronaldo.


Musiala (23) returned from a broken leg and dislocated ankle suffered at the 2025 Club World Cup; Nagelsmann calls him one of the best players on the planet. Wirtz had a difficult first Liverpool season but consistently delivers for Germany. Together they form the most exciting young creative midfield in international football.
Age 38. His first World Cup as head coach. Tasked with restoring German pride after the humiliation of back-to-back group-stage exits. Deploying captain Kimmich at right-back rather than midfield — a tactical gamble that defines his philosophy.
Jamal Musiala
Attacking Midfielder · 23 · Bayern Munich
The poster-boy of German football. Recovered from a severe leg injury. Nagelsmann will shape the entire attack around him. A genuine Ballon d'Or contender when fit.
Florian Wirtz
Attacking Midfielder · 23 · Liverpool
The other half of Germany's creative duo. Consistently elevates his game for the national team. Scored a brace against Switzerland in March 2026.
Manuel Neuer
Goalkeeper · 40 · Bayern Munich
Reversed his international retirement for a 5th World Cup. The 2014 champion brings legendary experience and leadership to a young squad.
Joshua Kimmich
Right-Back (C) · 31 · Bayern Munich
Captain. Deployed at right-back under Nagelsmann. His crossing from deep and leadership set the tone for this new German era.
Serge Gnabry (torn adductor), Marc-André ter Stegen (injured), Karim Adeyemi, Niclas Füllkrug, and Robert Andrich were all left out. The squad leans heavily on youth.
Overseeing a major refresh: 13 changes from the Euro 2024 squad, with 15 of 26 players based in the Premier League. Described the squad as a "major refresh" while retaining an experienced core.
Virgil van Dijk
Centre-Back (C) · 34 · Liverpool
Captain and defensive leader. The pillar upon which the entire Dutch system is built. Aerial dominance, distribution, and composure under pressure.
Frenkie de Jong
Midfielder · 29 · Barcelona
The main footballing leader. Primary tempo-setter and orchestrator. Everything flows through him when the Netherlands have possession.
Cody Gakpo
Forward · 27 · Liverpool
Key attacking threat. Scored 3 goals at Qatar 2022. Combines physical presence with intelligent movement and clinical finishing.
Memphis Depay
Forward · 32 · Corinthians
All-time top scorer and assist leader for the Netherlands. Carrying an injury concern but included in the final squad. A big-tournament player.
Jeremie Frimpong (surprise exclusion), Matthijs de Ligt (back surgery), Xavi Simons (ACL tear in April), Georginio Wijnaldum, Stefan de Vrij. Significant talent watching from home.
